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Adani Stocks Tank Up to 4% Even as Legal Cloud Lifts

Ishan Crawford 2 hours ago 0 3

Adani group stocks fell as much as 4% on Monday, June 1, even after billionaire Gautam Adani told shareholders the conglomerate’s US legal proceedings were “now behind us.” Adani Total Gas led the decline, dropping about 3.8% to ₹743.95 a share, while Adani Power and Adani Ports both traded more than 2% lower. The selloff came on a day that, on paper, should have removed an overhang investors had carried for 18 months.

The settlement in Washington was meant to be a buying trigger. Instead the tape pointed somewhere else: toward the bill for the group’s largest annual capital spending programme on record, and the AI-driven infrastructure thesis Adani is now spending against.

Why Adani Stocks Slid on a Day of Reassurance

The trigger for the move was a shareholder letter from Gautam Adani, the billionaire chairman of the Adani Group, carried by news agency PTI. He framed the legal resolution as a clearing of the decks and pivoted straight into a growth message built around energy, transport, logistics and digital infrastructure.

Markets read it differently. Rather than a relief rally, the cleared overhang prompted profit-taking across a cluster of group names that had already run hard into the news.

  • ₹743.95 per share for Adani Total Gas, down roughly 3.8% and the steepest faller in the pack.
  • 2%-plus declines at both Adani Power and Adani Ports during the session.
  • Adani Enterprises, Adani Green Energy and Adani Energy Solutions all closed in the red alongside the leaders.

The backdrop did not help. Indian equities have been choppy through late May, with foreign investors pulling money out in size on heavy-volume sessions, as our coverage of the record foreign portfolio outflow on MSCI rebalancing day detailed. Into that nervy mood, a settled legal case offered a reason to book gains rather than chase the story higher.

The Washington Settlement That Cleared the Files

The legal chapter that closed was a serious one. In November 2024, a New York federal court indicted Adani and seven others over an alleged scheme to pay Indian officials more than $250 million in bribes to win solar power supply contracts, charges the group has consistently called baseless.

Three separate US arms have since stepped back. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC, the American markets regulator) struck an $18 million civil settlement, with Gautam Adani paying a $6 million penalty and Sagar Adani, his nephew and an Adani Green Energy executive, paying $12 million, neither admitting nor denying the allegations. The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) moved to drop its criminal charges, and Adani Enterprises agreed to pay the U.S. Treasury $275 million to close a separate probe into sanctioned Iranian energy. Reporting tied the resolution to a pledge of roughly $10 billion in US investment.

The matters related to our US legal proceedings are now behind us, thereby allowing us to focus with renewed confidence and belief on the next phase of our growth.

That was Gautam Adani, writing to shareholders in the letter reported on Monday. The mechanics of how that relief reshapes the group’s borrowing costs sit at the centre of our earlier piece on the group’s triple legal relief and cheaper-capital outlook, which is the lever that makes the next phase affordable.

The ₹1.5 Lakh Crore Bet Investors Are Now Weighing

With the courtroom behind it, the group is leaning into spending. Adani said the conglomerate deployed more than ₹1.5 lakh crore (about $18 billion) in FY2025-26, roughly double the prior year and one of its largest annual capital programmes ever. He built the pitch around what he called two converging themes, infrastructure and intelligence, arguing that artificial intelligence will force heavy investment in power, grids, data centres and logistics.

The money is spread across the group’s operating arms rather than concentrated in one bet.

  • Renewable generation and the green hydrogen pipeline, including a 5-MW pilot at Adani New Industries.
  • Transmission assets, where Adani Energy Solutions has built a ₹71,779 crore order book.
  • Ports, airports and logistics, including the newly commissioned Navi Mumbai International Airport.
  • Data centres, with a 2-GW platform planned by 2030 and a memorandum of understanding (MOU, a non-binding agreement) with Google for a large project in Visakhapatnam.

The most ambitious figure attached to the strategy is a stated commitment toward sovereign AI infrastructure that the group pegs in the region of $100 billion over the coming years. For investors, a number that large is precisely the question mark. Spending that compounds is also spending that has to earn its return, and that is the shift in focus the Monday tape captured.

What the Balance Sheet Says About the Leverage

The group’s answer to leverage worries is that the numbers still look conservative. According to its half-year FY26 portfolio results, net debt stood at 3 times EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation), below the guided range of 3.5 to 4.5 times, even after the capex doubled.

Other metrics back the discipline claim. Return on assets (ROA, a measure of how efficiently assets generate profit) came in at 15.1%, among the highest in global infrastructure. The cash balance of ₹57,157 crore covered about 17% of gross debt, and 90% of portfolio EBITDA came from assets rated AA or higher.

The headline earnings held up too. Portfolio companies reported consolidated revenue of ₹2.92 lakh crore in FY26, up 7.4% on the year, with profit after tax rising 13.9% to ₹46,377 crore. Half-year EBITDA hit an all-time high of ₹47,375 crore. The bear case is not that the books are weak today; it is that doubling capex into an unproven demand cycle stretches any balance sheet if the AI build-out lands slower than the spending.

Where the Capital Is Landing Across the Group

The spending shows up as concrete capacity targets at each listed arm, which is what makes the bet legible to investors trying to price it. The renewable, power, ports and grid businesses each carry their own scale-up plan, and the table below sets the reported progress against the stated targets.

Group company Reported progress Expansion target
Adani Green Energy Added 5.1 GW; operational portfolio above 19 GW Continued renewable build-out
Adani Power Executing a plan worth over ₹2 lakh crore 42 GW capacity by 2032
Adani Ports & SEZ Handled more than 500 million tonnes of cargo New terminals and gateway capacity
Adani Energy Solutions Transmission order book of ₹71,779 crore National grid expansion

Aviation rounds out the picture. Beyond the Navi Mumbai airport, the group inaugurated a new terminal at Guwahati and pointed to its Enterprises arm, which raised ₹24,930 crore in a rights issue it called a vote of confidence from investors.

The risk and the upside now sit in the same line item. If the AI-led demand the group is spending against shows up in power and data-centre contracts over the next few quarters, the doubled capex reads as good timing. If it lags while the bills arrive, the figure the group calls discipline becomes the number analysts circle. The settlement closed one file in Washington; the spending opens a longer one at home.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Adani group stocks fall despite the legal relief?

Investors had largely priced in the US settlement after weeks of reporting, so the confirmation triggered profit-taking rather than fresh buying. Attention shifted to the group’s ₹1.5 lakh crore capital spending programme and whether the AI-infrastructure demand behind it will materialise fast enough to support the outlay.

How much did Adani pay to settle the US cases?

The SEC settlement totalled $18 million, split as a $6 million penalty for Gautam Adani and $12 million for Sagar Adani, with no admission of wrongdoing. Separately, Adani Enterprises agreed to pay the US Treasury $275 million over a sanctioned Iranian energy probe, and the DOJ moved to drop its criminal charges.

Which Adani stock fell the most on June 1?

Adani Total Gas was the biggest laggard, sliding about 3.8% to ₹743.95 per share. Adani Power and Adani Ports each fell more than 2%, while Adani Enterprises, Adani Green Energy and Adani Energy Solutions also traded lower.

Is Adani’s debt level a concern after doubling capex?

The group says net debt stayed at 3 times EBITDA, below its guided range of 3.5 to 4.5 times, even after capex doubled. Return on assets was 15.1% and cash covered about 17% of gross debt, though the open question is whether returns hold if the AI demand cycle arrives slower than the spending.

What is Adani’s AI infrastructure plan?

The group is building toward a 2-GW data centre platform by 2030, signed a memorandum of understanding with Google for a project in Visakhapatnam, and has flagged a commitment in the region of $100 billion toward sovereign AI infrastructure spanning power, transmission, data centres and logistics.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Equity prices, including those of Adani group companies, carry market risk and can move sharply. Readers should consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decision. All figures are accurate as of publication.

Written By

Prior to the position, Ishan was senior vice president, strategy & development for Cumbernauld-media Company since April 2013. He joined the Company in 2004 and has served in several corporate developments, business development and strategic planning roles for three chief executives. During that time, he helped transform the Company from a traditional U.S. media conglomerate into a global digital subscription service, unified by the journalism and brand of Cumbernauld-media.

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