CBI Scotland Chief Warns: ‘Most Jobs Today Won’t Exist in 20 Years’

The landscape of employment in Scotland is on the brink of massive transformation, with automation, artificial intelligence, and shifting industry demands poised to reshape the job market. Michelle Ferguson, the new Scotland Director of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), has sounded the alarm on a critical skills shortage that could leave Scotland trailing in the global economy.

The Skills Gap Crisis

Speaking ahead of the CBI Scotland annual lunch in Edinburgh, where First Minister John Swinney is set to address business leaders, Ferguson emphasized the urgency of equipping the workforce for future industries. Scotland, like much of the UK, faces an accelerating skills gap, with businesses struggling to find workers trained in areas critical for economic growth.

“This isn’t just about a shortage of workers—it’s about a shortage of the right skills,” Ferguson stated. “Most of the jobs people have today won’t exist in 20 years. We need to act now to prepare for what’s coming.”

Scotland workforce skills training economy

Industries at Risk

Several sectors are already feeling the strain. While digital transformation has created opportunities, it has also rendered many traditional roles obsolete. The skills shortage is particularly severe in technology, engineering, and renewable energy—industries that are expected to drive Scotland’s economy forward.

  • Technology: AI, cybersecurity, and software development remain areas of high demand, but companies struggle to recruit talent.
  • Engineering: A decline in young professionals entering the field has led to critical shortages in civil and mechanical engineering.
  • Renewable Energy: Scotland’s push toward net-zero emissions is at risk if there aren’t enough trained workers in offshore wind and green hydrogen.

Education and Training Falling Short

A major factor behind the widening skills gap is an education system that struggles to keep pace with the evolving job market. Ferguson has called for closer collaboration between businesses, schools, and universities to ensure students are gaining relevant, future-proof skills.

“We need an education system that is aligned with the economy of tomorrow, not the economy of yesterday,” she said. “That means rethinking apprenticeships, upskilling workers, and making lifelong learning the norm.”

Sector Current Workforce Shortage Projected Growth by 2040
Technology High Rapid Expansion
Engineering Critical Moderate Growth
Renewable Energy Severe Substantial Growth
Healthcare Growing Significant Demand
Retail & Hospitality Declining Uncertain

The Role of Government and Business

The Scottish government has introduced initiatives aimed at addressing skills shortages, but businesses argue that more must be done. Ferguson is urging policymakers to take a more proactive approach, including offering tax incentives for companies investing in employee training and streamlining visa processes to attract skilled workers from abroad.

“We need an economic strategy that doesn’t just react to change but anticipates it,” Ferguson said. “If we wait too long, Scotland will fall behind.”

As automation and AI continue to reshape industries, businesses and workers alike must prepare for a future where adaptability is key. While the exact nature of work in 2044 remains uncertain, one thing is clear—standing still is not an option.

By Dayna Bass

Dayna Bass is a talented news writer at our website, delivering compelling and timely stories to our readers. With a passion for journalism and a keen eye for detail, Dayna covers a wide range of topics, ensuring that our audience stays informed about the latest news and developments. Whether it's breaking news, investigative reports, or human interest stories, Dayna's articles are meticulously researched and written with clarity and accuracy.

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