Satellites to Aid in Predicting Landslide Risks Across Scotland

A groundbreaking study led by the University of Nottingham and Peatland Action is using satellite technology to assess the susceptibility of peatlands in Scotland to landslides. The research, which previously analyzed large peat failures in Ireland, offers new insights into peatland stability and could shape future restoration and risk assessment strategies.

Satellites Reveal Peatland Movements

Satellite Earth observation data has uncovered critical patterns in peat movement. The study, which tested interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) monitoring across 20 Scottish peatland sites, found that areas with natural drainage exhibit higher chances of displacement.

One key discovery: the phenomenon known as “bog breathing,” the natural up-and-down motion of peat, is not necessarily an indicator of an imminent landslide but rather a sign of potential susceptibility.

Peatland Action, which is overseeing peat restoration efforts, plans to analyze regions flagged as experiencing significant motion to determine potential risks and intervention strategies.

satellite-monitoring-peatland-scotland

Complex Terrain Increases Landslide Risk

Peat landslides—often taking the form of slides, flows, or bog bursts—are a serious hazard in blanket peat areas, particularly in regions with:

  • Steep slopes
  • Complex topography
  • High erosion rates

While these events are uncommon in Scotland, their potential impact on landscapes and infrastructure makes proactive assessment crucial.

InSAR Technology: A Game Changer for Risk Assessment

The use of InSAR technology allows researchers to generate detailed surface motion maps at a national scale. These maps are invaluable for ongoing restoration projects, as they:

  • Provide surface-motion data
  • Help predict future landslide susceptibility
  • Allow site monitoring post-restoration

Professor David J. Large from the University of Nottingham emphasized that the method is ideal for identifying high-risk zones before deploying costly geotechnical surveys. He noted that potential applications extend beyond restoration, including wind energy developments in peatland areas.

Challenges in Peatland Stability Assessment

Despite these advancements, evaluating peatland stability remains difficult due to several factors:

  • Variations in peat thickness
  • Poorly understood geotechnical properties
  • The complex internal structure and hydrology of peatlands

Traditional landslide susceptibility assessments are often resource-intensive and expensive, limiting their large-scale application. By integrating satellite data, researchers aim to streamline the process and improve the accuracy of risk evaluations.

Future Implications for Peatland Management

The study covered peatland sites across Scotland, from Shetland to Dumfries and Galloway. The findings could influence future land management strategies, particularly in regions planning peatland restoration projects. Incorporating satellite-based assessments into standard risk evaluations could significantly enhance decision-making processes.

As research continues, authorities will have access to a more refined understanding of peatland behavior, ultimately leading to more effective conservation and land-use planning strategies.

By Ishan Crawford

Prior to the position, Ishan was senior vice president, strategy & development for Cumbernauld-media Company since April 2013. He joined the Company in 2004 and has served in several corporate developments, business development and strategic planning roles for three chief executives. During that time, he helped transform the Company from a traditional U.S. media conglomerate into a global digital subscription service, unified by the journalism and brand of Cumbernauld-media.

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